Position Simulator (simulate leverage or get rekt trying)
Open on Polymarket ↗Loading...
Select position legs
Buy Yes on selected strike
Short SPCX @ current price
Margin requirement
Polymarket Contracts
—
If Yes (—)
—
Futures Margin (20%)
—
Total Capital Locked
—
P&L by IPO Scenarios
| Closing Market Cap | Polymarket | Futures Short | Total P&L | Total % | Est. Probability* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Configure parameters above... | |||||
* Probability from Polymarket. Futures centered at current Binance price.
Risk: If IPO is cancelled → Polymarket resolves to NO, futures outcome is unknown. Not hedged by this structure.
Delta-Neutral Strategy (arbitrage logic for big brain plays)
Calculating...
Polymarket Strikes (yes / no prediction pools live)
Open on Polymarket ↗| Strike | Yes Price | No Price | Prob. | Volume | Liquidity | 24h Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loading Polymarket data... | ||||||
Implied Probability Distribution (the consensus on SpaceX cap)
Binance SPCXUSDT Perp (telemetry from the top venue)
Open on Binance ↗Loading Binance data...